Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.341387 0.369530 0.399747 0.434744 0.474344 0.517973 0.569970
2025-11-23 0.290707 0.329411 0.373879 0.429339 0.497507 0.579715 0.688191
2025-11-30 0.266182 0.311187 0.365385 0.436691 0.529974 0.650785 0.824328
2025-12-07 0.244875 0.292890 0.352767 0.434821 0.547560 0.702331 0.941405
2025-12-14 0.228137 0.277971 0.341919 0.432597 0.562553 0.750424 1.060772
2025-12-21 0.211439 0.261332 0.326795 0.422167 0.563597 0.777028 1.150579
2025-12-28 0.204308 0.256518 0.326735 0.432200 0.594869 0.853140 1.338374
2026-01-04 0.196719 0.250342 0.324017 0.437685 0.619307 0.921501 1.529226
2026-01-11 0.188530 0.242665 0.318403 0.437988 0.635075 0.977118 1.710073
2026-01-18 0.178877 0.232266 0.308018 0.429813 0.635556 1.005071 1.840309
2026-01-25 0.168845 0.220746 0.295200 0.416641 0.625883 1.012334 1.925815
2026-02-01 0.161364 0.212512 0.286761 0.409763 0.626332 1.038949 2.065440
2026-02-08 0.154341 0.204794 0.278930 0.403744 0.628565 1.071411 2.237044
2026-02-15 0.147958 0.197744 0.271768 0.398368 0.631593 1.106634 2.432415
2026-02-22 0.144829 0.195376 0.271689 0.404931 0.657854 1.197043 2.831961
2026-03-01 0.140142 0.190387 0.267127 0.403252 0.667725 1.252313 3.150899
2026-03-08 0.135743 0.185618 0.262620 0.401257 0.676644 1.307134 3.501731
2026-03-15 0.130169 0.178782 0.254386 0.391894 0.669239 1.320033 3.701823
2026-03-22 0.128584 0.178083 0.256142 0.400900 0.701639 1.442538 4.449898
2026-03-29 0.126309 0.176175 0.255751 0.405820 0.725777 1.549267 5.237329
2026-04-05 0.123329 0.173008 0.253052 0.406091 0.739481 1.629987 5.984489
2026-04-12 0.119200 0.167831 0.246673 0.398758 0.734757 1.654625 6.434607
2026-04-19 0.114527 0.161620 0.238262 0.386930 0.718295 1.639811 6.622620